Cloud vs On-Prem: 5-Year TCO for SMBs (2026)
Robin Damen โ managing director of Virtual Computing, 20+ years of MSP experience
The question "should I replace my server or move to the cloud?" lands on every SMB owner's desk somewhere between year 4 and year 6. The vendor of the existing server sends a quote for a new one โ usually โฌ8,000 to โฌ15,000 โ and the choice looks simple: buy a new server, or migrate.
But the real costs aren't in that one quote. They're in the years that follow. In this article we run the honest numbers for a typical 25-seat SMB on what an on-prem server *really* costs over 5 years versus a cloud workspace at a specialised MSP like us. No sales pitch โ just the numbers.
This blog complements What is a cloud workspace? (explanation + who it suits) and Comparing online workspace providers and costs (provider comparison). Here we focus purely on TCO: on-prem vs cloud.
The 5-year math: 25 workspaces
Realistic profile: SMB with 25 employees, one central server (or a small two-node cluster), Microsoft 365 licences, a backup solution and an external IT partner billing per hour.
Option A: replace your own server
| Cost line | Year 0 | Year 1-5 (annual) | 5-year total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Server hardware (HPE/Dell, redundant) | โฌ12,000 | โ | โฌ12,000 |
| Software licences (Windows Server, CALs, RDS) | โฌ4,500 | โ | โฌ4,500 |
| UPS + backup appliance | โฌ2,500 | โ | โฌ2,500 |
| Implementation + migration | โฌ4,500 | โ | โฌ4,500 |
| External IT partner (avg. 6h/month at hourly rate) | โ | โฌ6,480 | โฌ32,400 |
| Maintenance contract + monitoring | โ | โฌ1,800 | โฌ9,000 |
| Off-site backup (Veeam Cloud or similar) | โ | โฌ1,200 | โฌ6,000 |
| Power + cooling (server cabinet) | โ | โฌ600 | โฌ3,000 |
| Unplanned incidents (avg. 1-2/year ร โฌ750) | โ | โฌ1,500 | โฌ7,500 |
| Subtotal | โฌ23,500 | โฌ11,580 | โฌ81,400 |
| (-) Server residual value year 5 | โ | โ | -โฌ500 |
| On-prem server, 5-year total | โฌ80,900 |
This excludes Microsoft 365 licences (same in both scenarios), workspace laptops (also same) and the cost of any unplanned downtime.
Option B: cloud workspace at an MSP
| Cost line | Year 0 | Year 1-5 (annual) | 5-year total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Onboarding + migration (one-off) | โฌ3,500 | โ | โฌ3,500 |
| Cloud workspace (โฌ38/user/month, all-in) | โ | โฌ11,400 | โฌ57,000 |
| Management + 24/7 support (included with us) | โ | โฌ0 | โฌ0 |
| Backup (included) | โ | โฌ0 | โฌ0 |
| NL data centre + ISO 27001 (included) | โ | โฌ0 | โฌ0 |
| Cloud workspace, 5-year total | โฌ3,500 | โฌ11,400 | โฌ60,500 |
Difference: โฌ80,900 โ โฌ60,500 = โฌ20,400 in favour of the cloud workspace over 5 years.
Hidden on-prem costs that aren't in the quote
Four cost lines we rarely see counted in the on-prem proposal:
1. Time of your own people. Someone calls IT, someone waits for the engineer, someone logs extra time when the server is slow. Conservative estimate: 1 hour per employee per month ร 25 people ร โฌ40/h = โฌ1,000/month or โฌ60,000 over 5 years. With a well-managed cloud workspace this drops to near zero.
2. Downtime impact. The average SMB server has 4-8 hours of unplanned downtime per year (Uptime Institute Survey 2024). At 25 employees ร โฌ40/h that's โฌ4,000-โฌ8,000 of lost productivity per year.
3. Cybersecurity gaps that don't follow. A server in a comms cabinet doesn't get 24/7 SOC monitoring, automatic OS patching within 24h or geo-redundant backup. If your sector touches NIS2 or NEN 7510, you have to solve this yourself โ typically โฌ5,000-โฌ15,000 extra per year.
4. Replacement-cycle friction. Replacing a 5-year-old server means a project, migration downtime, data dip risk and a vendor that may no longer respond well. Cloud migration takes that friction once. Server replacements repeat it every 5 years.
When on-prem still wins (3 scenarios)
We're honest: cloud workspace isn't always the right call. Three situations where on-prem (or Windows 365) fits better:
1. Heavy 3D/CAD apps without a cloud equivalent. Vertical software requiring GPU acceleration with no cloud version yet โ older AutoCAD, SolidWorks or specific architect software not yet sufficient on a graphical cloud.
2. Unreliable internet. On an industrial estate without fibre, or in an area with frequent outages, a local server may be more stable than an internet-dependent workspace. (Our advice in this case: upgrade the connection first โ almost always cheaper than running your own server.)
3. Strict data sovereignty requirements. Some government or compliance regimes require data to physically stay on-site. Rare in the SMB space, but real in defence- or government-adjacent sectors.
In all other cases โ and that's 90% of the SMB market โ cloud workspace wins on TCO and operational quality.
What's included for โฌ38/user/month
Our Online Workspace is structured this way (from โฌ38 per user per month):
- Your own Windows workspace on Microsoft Azure or a Dutch data centre
- 24/7 monitoring and support (no hourly billing)
- Automatic daily backup
- ISO 27001-certified data centre
- NEN 7510 available for healthcare clients
- Multi-factor authentication by default
- Vertical software runs alongside (Exquise, Oase Dental, ISAH, AFAS, Exact, EPDs etc.)
Microsoft 365 licences are billed separately (depending on plan: Business Basic from โฌ5.20/month, Business Standard โฌ10.80/month, Business Premium from โฌ19.10/month).
For provider comparison see Comparing online workspace providers and costs.
TCO FAQ
My server is already 3 years old. Is it worth switching now? Often yes. We model the "wait until end-of-life" path versus an early migration. In about 60% of cases we run, switching early breaks even within 18-24 months โ especially if you've had incidents.
What about internet costs? A cloud workspace needs reliable internet (minimum 50/20 Mbps, fibre preferred). For most SMBs this is already in place. For 25 workspaces we recommend 200/200 Mbps โ typically โฌ100-โฌ150/month, often part of an existing networking contract.
What if my workspace temporarily has no internet? We use Microsoft OneDrive and Microsoft 365 Apps that work offline for standard office tasks. Vertical software (Exquise, Exact etc.) needs a connection โ same as a local Citrix setup, by the way.
Can I exit at any time? With us: yes, monthly cancellation. No 36-month lock-in. That fits our principle: if we don't serve you well we don't deserve your business.
Concrete next step
We'll model your situation if you're on the fence โ no sales call, just your numbers, your context. We compare against Windows 365 and other serious MSPs too, not only our own offering.
Book a TCO walkthrough โ 30 minutes, online or at our office in Oisterwijk. Or call Robin directly: 085 013 4500.
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